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    Don't overstate Labour's ability or motive to stop Brexit Remainers found fresh hope at the Labour conference this week but will it amount to anything?

    Were the EU to accept such a deal with the UK, it would certainly impose additional conditions. It would insist on a mechanism to monitor potential violations of the agreement and an arbitration system that took account of relevant European Court of Justice ECJ decisions.

    Controls on EU migrants would also need to be light. It would also need to continue abiding by EU social and employment laws; while that might seem more problematic, such rules have scarcely prevented the UK from having flexible labour markets.

    Indeed, UK requirements on, for instance, maternity leave are well above the EU-mandated minimum. It would regain regulatory autonomy in services, which account for four-fifths of the economy, and in other policy areas currently covered by EU law.

    If the Jersey model still seems unacceptable, consider that the measures needed to avoid a customs border in Ireland are the same, obviously, as those needed to avoid one at Dover.

    The only alternative would be for the Jersey model to apply only to Northern Ireland, which would entail a customs border between Northern Ireland and Great Britain.

    Certainly I know that when my company exports to Jersey from the EU we need to fill in a customs form and pay tax. So under the modified Jersey option he presented, your company would not need to pay that local excise tax as the UK would remain in the VAT area unlike Jersey today.

    Also many very major points are brushed over. Restrictions on state aid are very significant limits on sovereignty.

    Not even Switzerland accepts EU state aid and competition regulations except in aviation. Restrictions on these alone could easily justify rejection of the whole.

    It would appear as the UK having its cake and eating it, something the EU is keen to avoid since that does not appear to the leave the UK worse off for leaving in actual fact though, the UK WOULD be worse off for leaving as outlined below, but initially it could be presented in the UK as having the cake and eating it.

    The all-island economy in Ireland and the Agreement would necessitate a free market in the services that span the island. As had been noted elsewhere, the UK and European Commission had drawn up a list of cross-border activities that could be disrupted on the island of Ireland by Brexit.

    For there not to be a hard border on the island, then none of these areas should ever really be disrupted. But that includes health services ambulances being free to cross the border to attend to emergencies — if there was a divergence, then you would need to stop ambulances at the border; hence border posts; patients being able to fill prescriptions anywhere on the island , the all-island electricity market electricity services , animal health veterinary services and so on.

    Services would include financial services. Any single market in goods only would mean that there is a hard brexit for the financial services industry — so no passporting and the need to set up subsidiaries and move jobs over to the continent and losing business to New York after all, why should American financial corporations continue operating from London, when effectively London is no different from New York in terms of access to the EU?

    At that point they would just open subsidiaries in Frankfurt, Paris, Dublin, Amsterdam, Rome etc and move most operations out of London to the USA, leaving behind only the subsidiary necessary to serve the British market only.

    And services benefit greatly from the still incomplete internal market in services. If the supply chains of manufacturing have a good claim for avoiding disruption the financial services industry will have a much, much stronger claim to avoiding the disruption inherent in a loss of passporting.

    Click here to cancel reply. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. Notify me of new posts by email. Previous post Next post. Andrew February 13, at 6: Hunter February 15, at 3: Haohao February 13, at It would appear as the UK having its cake and eating it, something the EU is keen to avoid since that does not appear to the leave the UK worse off for leaving in actual fact though, the UK WOULD be worse off for leaving as outlined below, but initially it could be presented in the UK as having the cake and eating it 2.

    Who will have quit the Cabinet by Monday? July 5, at 8: Subscribe to our weekly email. We use cookies on this site to understand how you use our content, and to give you the best browsing experience.

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